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Nikola Miladinović
HomeTeamNikola Miladinović
Nikola Tesla Institute

Nikola Miladinović

Predictive Maintenance of Hydro Units: A Data-Driven Approach

ABSTRACT

In modern power systems, hydropower plants play a crucial role. Considering their irreplaceable functions in providing fast system response, balancing variable energy sources, and integrating an increasing share of renewable energy, their importance is expected to continue growing in the future. The central element of every hydropower plant is the hydro unit, a complex electromechanical system comprising the generator, turbine, and auxiliary equipment, whose unplanned failures can lead to significant economic losses, reduced system reliability, and disruptions in electricity supply. In addition to direct losses, such failures may also cause secondary effects, including increased balancing costs and additional stress on other generation capacities. The development of modern information and communication technologies and advanced analytical methods represents a key prerequisite for the modernization of hydropower plant operation and the transition toward intelligent control and maintenance systems. The integration of diverse data sources, their centralization, and advanced processing enable a deeper understanding of system behavior and support real-time decision-making. Improving maintenance strategies for hydro units and associated equipment requires a transition from traditional approaches, based on periodic inspections or reactive maintenance, to more advanced concepts such as Condition-Based Maintenance (CBM). This approach relies on the analysis of large volumes of data collected from various sources, including SCADA systems, monitoring systems, dedicated sensors, and results of periodic testing, to continuously assess the current condition of the equipment (data-driven approach). This enables the timely identification of deviations from normal operation, early detection of degradation indicators, and data-driven decision-making for planning and executing maintenance activities, thereby reducing the risk of unplanned failures. A specific subset of CBM strategies is Predictive Maintenance (PdM), which utilizes advanced algorithms based on machine learning and artificial intelligence to forecast degradation trends and estimate the remaining useful life of hydro units. These models enable not only anomaly detection but also the prediction of potential failures before they occur, significantly reducing the risk of unplanned outages, increasing system availability, and optimizing overall maintenance costs. Within the poster session, the conceptual design and key functionalities of a dedicated predictive maintenance solution for hydro units (Ægir), developed by the US-based company Elder Research, will be presented. The Ægir platform enables advanced analytics, early diagnostics, and decision support in real-world operational environments. Based on previous experience with the application of the Ægir platform, its implementation is expected to contribute to increased reliability and availability of hydro units, as well as to the overall efficiency improvement of the power system.

Keywords: hydrogenerator, diagnostics, predictive maintenance, AI

Biography of the presenter

Nikola Miladinović was born in 1976 in Belgrade, where he completed his primary and secondary education. In 2002, he graduated from the School of Electrical Engineering, University of Belgrade, Department of Computer Engineering and Information Technology. He completed his MSc studies at the same faculty, in the field of Software Systems, in 2014. His thesis focused on the application of artificial intelligence in power engineering. Since 2003, he has been employed at the Nikola Tesla Electrical Engineering Institute. His primary work involves the development of software and databases applied in power engineering. He participates in the implementation of commercial projects, particularly in the areas of monitoring of power equipment, measurement and data acquisition systems, as well as the development of internal standards in the field of power engineering, acting as a team member or project manager. He currently holds the position of Expert Advisor. He is also engaged in computer network maintenance. He is a member of the Office for Digitalization and Artificial Intelligence at the Institute. His research interests include software engineering, the application of artificial intelligence in power engineering and big data analytics. He is the author and co-author of several papers published at professional conferences.